到2050年,印度將成為全球第二大經濟體

Gautam Adani debunks GDP rhetoric, says India will be 2nd largest economy by 2050

高塔姆·阿達尼駁斥有關GDP的言論,稱到2050年,印度將成為第二大經濟體

New Delhi: Billionaire Gautam Adani has debunked the narrow fixation on GDP numbers, saying fundamentals are intact and India will be the second-largest economy by 2050 and has an edge over global peers in terms of business opportunities.

新德裡:億萬富翁高塔姆•阿達尼駁斥瞭人們對印度GDP數據的狹隘看法,稱印度經濟基本面完好無損,到2050年印度將成為全球第二大經濟體,在商業機會方面比全球同行更具優勢。

Speaking at the JP Morgan India Summit – Future in Focus, the Adani Group chairman said the AatmaNirbhar Bharat programme will be a game-changer.

在摩根大通印度峰會-“聚焦未來”上,阿達尼集團董事長高塔姆•阿達尼說,“印度自力更生”項目將會改變遊戲規則。

“I will state without any hesitation – that – in my view – over the next three decades, India is the world’s greatest business opportunity,” he said.

他說:“我敢說,在未來30年裡,印度的商機是全球最大的。”

India’s geostrategic position and massive market size give it an edge over its global peers amid the fundamental political realignment of nations taking shape, he said adding opportunities for India are likely to accelerate on the other side of the pandemic.

他說,印度的地緣戰略地位和巨大的市場規模,使其在各國基本政治格局正在形成之際,相對於其他國傢具有優勢。在疫情結束後,印度的機遇可能還會增加。

“For the sake of the fans of the GDP metric, let’s look at some statistics. The global GDP in 1990 was USD 38 trillion. Today, 30 years later, this number is USD 90 trillion. Projecting for another 30 years, in 2050 the global GDP is expected to be about USD 170 trillion with India becoming the second-largest economy in the world,” he said.

他說:“我們來看一些統計數據,1990年全球GDP為38萬億美元。30年後的今天,這個數字是90萬億美元。預計再過30年,到2050年,全球GDP將達到170萬億美元,印度將成為世界第二大經濟體。”

The Indian economy shrank by a record 23.9 per cent in the April-June quarter because of the COVID-19 pandemic and the lockdown that followed. The economy is projected to contract for the first time in four decades, in the full year to March 2021.

由於新冠疫情和隨後的封鎖,印度經濟在今年4月至6月這一季度萎縮瞭創紀錄的23.9%。預計到2021年3月,全年經濟將出現40年來的首次收縮。

But Adani said short-term setbacks due to a global crisis cannot be used to write off the country as its fundamentals remain intact.

但阿達尼說,全球危機造成的短期挫折不會擊垮印度經濟,因為印度經濟的基本面仍然完好無損。

“The current focus on standardised GDP predictions as against truly understanding what a nation could look like over a decade has unfortunately become one of the primary elements for measuring the health of an economy. In my view, patience and long-term planning and most importantly, an alignment with the go nment’s business agenda are what creates the greatest value,” he said.

他說:“不幸的是,目前人們關註的是標準化的GDP預測,而不去瞭解未來10年國傢將如何發展,這已成為衡量一個經濟體健康狀況的主要因素之一。在我看來,耐心和長期規劃才是創造最大價值的要素,而最重要的是,與政府的商業議程保持一致。”

Speaking of challenges holding back India, Adani said that India needs USD 1.5 to 2 trillion of capital over the next decade but despite key structural reforms such as the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund and Credit Enhancement Fund, capital structure challenges, and lack of empowered and independent regulators remain bottlenecks to nation-building and investment opportunities.

談到阻礙印度發展的挑戰,阿達尼表示,印度在未來十年需要1.5到2萬億美元的資本,盡管進行瞭關鍵的結構改革(如國傢投資、基礎設施基金和信貸增強基金),但資本結構面臨的挑戰,以及缺乏授權和獨立的監管機構仍然是阻礙國傢建設和投資機會的瓶頸。

The first generation entrepreneur, who built India’s biggest infrastructure group with interests spanning from seaports to airports and energy, coaxed the audience to look at opportunities through his ‘optimist’ lenses.

作為印度第一代企業傢,阿達尼建立瞭印度最大的基礎設施集團,業務范圍從海港、機場到能源等多個領域。他通過“樂觀主義”的視角,吸引聽眾來看待機遇。

“As an entrepreneur, I am an optimist, and therefore the lenses through which I see opportunities may be different than some of yours.” he said.

他說:“作為一名企業傢,我是一個樂觀主義者,因此我看待機遇的視角可能與你們中的一些人不同。”

He told the forum to stop viewing all nations through old Western growth metrics.

他說,不要再用舊的西方增長指標來衡量所有國傢。

印度經濟時報讀者的評論:

Punit Saraf

Adani was a thief and a criminal, thats how he started and grew his business on the ports. Real crook!

阿達尼是個小偷和罪犯,他就是靠偷和騙在港口發傢的。他就是個騙子!

Praker

Thatâ s too long.. Who knows alive to prove

2050年太遠瞭…要活到那時候才能證實他的預測

Ankit Jalan

Modi friends Ambani and Adani will be ruling the nation

未來,將由莫迪的朋友安巴尼和阿達尼統治這個國傢

R Vaidyanadhan

Good by then (2050) most of us would not be alive. Perhaps Ambani and Adani ruling the nation.

到那時(2050年),我們大多數人都不在這個世上瞭。也許統治這個國傢的是安巴尼和阿達尼。

New Dawn

India lives in Bollywood movies. Everything sounds unrealistic and too big to acknowledge. India is not able to become a 3 trillion $ economy in past 75 years. How in the world India will become second largest economy in 3 decades.

印度生活在寶萊塢電影中。每件事聽起來都不現實,牛皮吹得太大瞭。在過去75年,印度無法成為3萬億美元經濟體,如何能在30年後成為世界第二大經濟體?

Namaskarhotel

we wish Adani to live long and see him self his dream fulfill..all the best to big dreamers of India, rajinder kumar budhraja.

希望阿達尼能長壽,能看到自己的預言成真。祝印度偉大的夢想傢好運!

Sanjay Shrivastava

I wish Mr. Adani a very long life to see the truthfulness of his statement, a appreciate all leading newspapers to make this headline. But Why 2nd and why not number one?

希望阿達尼先生長命百歲,看到他的預測成真。但為什麼是第二大經濟體,不是第一大呢?

Yogendra Patel

If the current state of economic and political affairs continue then certainly it is going to be overstatement. To be second biggest economy , stability of economic policy is must . We see tinkering in economic policy every now and then making long term business decisions difficult. Politically too we are not united.

如果當前的經濟和政治狀況持續下去,那阿達尼說的肯定是言過其實瞭。要成為第二大經濟體,穩定的經濟政策是必須的。不時對經濟政策進行修改,難以確定長期的商業政策。在政治上,我們也不團結。

SRIKUMAR GHOSE CHOUDHURY

may be he is going to be next fm

也許他會成為下一任財政部長

Nuraj Bakshi

You all will be dead by that time so why predict such stupid things. Infact there will be corona 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 advance version to take the world back 100 years!!

到那時,你們都已經死瞭,為什麼要做這些愚蠢的預測。事實上,一波接一波的疫情將會導致世界倒退100年!!

Rajesh Narayanan

why 2050? that time you wont be alive is it

為什麼是2050年?到那時候你自己都不在瞭

Nikhil Chengappa

Is he next Finance Minister or going to own all the businesses

下一任財政部長就是他瞭,以後所有企業都是他的

atul kulkarni

What is the road map for next 30 years. The fields in which India would emerge as an economic powerhouse.

印度未來30年的路線圖是什麼?這些領域將使印度成為經濟強國。

Kamal Jain

Ambani and Adani can debunks GDP as rhetoric ! Both have benefit the K shape growth of India ! But ultimately if masses loose riches will also loose.

安巴尼和阿達尼可以把GDP說得天花亂墜!他們兩個都為印度的K形增長做瞭貢獻!但最終,如果大眾受損,富人也會受損。

Ravindra Muthya

Who cares? What is important is jobs for people to lead an honourable life and access to education and health. Comparisons with other economies is irrelevant for hungry jobless youth.

誰在乎呢?重要的是,為人們提供就業機會,提供醫療保障,讓大傢有書讀,過上體面的生活。對於饑餓的失業青年來說,與其他經濟體的比較是無關緊要的。

Babu Raja

a big joke by a joker

一個小醜開的大玩笑

Rahul

He contributes much more to the Indian economy, than you can ever do !!

他對印度經濟的貢獻比你大得多!!

Abhishek Gupta

talk about present not 30 years down the line

what will happen after 30 years nobody knows.

要說就說目前的狀態,不要說30年後,沒人知道30年後會發生什麼。

Subroto Kumar

Ambani Adani only will speak so India being 2nd economy shortly.They will benefit most under Modi in next 30 years. Bjp will rule for next 50 years for no reason. All the best..

安巴尼和阿達尼隻會說印度很快將會成為第二大經濟體。在莫迪的領導下,未來30年他們將是獲益最多的。未來50年將由人民黨統治。願一切都好!

David: